First Comes High Inflation, then Comes High Rates, followed by Low Borrowing by Non-Finance Corporations, then Comes High Unemployment, and we are in Recession Terriroty.

The Next Step in the Recession Process.

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The Complete Cycle to predicting a recession is First Comes High Inflation, then Comes High Rates (Yield Curve Inverts), followed by Low Borrowing by Non-Finance Corporations, then Comes High Unemployment (Recession), then Comes low Spending (Midst of a Recession), then Inflation Lowers, then Rates Lower (Yield Curve Flattens and ev…